There has been so much commentary from many different people and
angles on the current “rural debt crisis” and voices are growing louder
and louder……..but are they the right voices or do they deliver the right
messages? And where are the solutions?
Rural debt is a
complicated animal. To plan for the coming twelve months we have
completed as many as 4 cash flow budgets, all based upon weather
assumptions (wide spread rain, no rain, successful crop, no crop) as all
these factors affect our business and all in varying degrees (and no I
have not doubled up, each has a separate impact on our business).
By this example I am trying to show that every rural debt owed by a
farmer is an individual one, as different as the farming operations
responsible for service the debts. Many factors will affect different
farm businesses, like the following examples:
1. The Interest Only
demon – when people speak of servicing a rural debt, they could be
speaking of meeting their interest repayments rather than actually
repaying principle on the debt (remember this is not in all cases
though). As overdraft limits are exceeded through servicing the interest
on the interest only debts (generally Commercial Bill Facilities or
Fixed Rate Interest Only or Term Loans), a new higher limit is put in
place, using up equity in the mortgaged assets. There is a very high
portion of rural debt which would be of the interest only persuasion,
and this has not accumulated in the last two years, but over many years
and can present a huge problem when it comes to succession planning.
2. Loss of equity – The market value for rural properties over the past
decade had been steadily increasing in most areas, yet absurdly the
earning ability of the rural properties in most case was not rising at
all. So for little or no output farmers were handed an equity windfall
that some chose to borrow against. In recent times much of the value of
these rises has been trimmed off the value of rural properties leaving
debts that exceed the bank value of the property, effectively reducing
the security categorisation to partially secured and some institutions
have seen the need to call in the loans.
3. Lack of understanding
of terms of the lending documents – While we all understand that if we
borrow money, we must repay the money plus interest, the conditions
attached to mortgage documents, loan contracts and the like are
extensive and difficult to understand. Legal protection is offered for
those acting as Guarantors as they must seek independent legal advice
with most lenders to have the documents fully explained. Perhaps seeking
independent legal advice (despite the additional cost) is something
more people should do, especially when you consider the amount of money involved with many rural debts.
4. Not enough equity to begin with – Entry
into a rural industry is very hard, and can mostly be attributed to the
high cost of land. Rural land prices have presented a huge barrier to
new entrants to the industry, especially because the value of the land
is often not reflected in the earning capacity of the land or the return
on Investment. As a result some are highly geared to begin with,
allowing little margin for a downturn in their income stream when
confronted by poor seasons, a raging drought and/or falling commodity
prices. This can also apply to those children of retiring farmers who
inherit a large debt along with a farm.
5. A Bad Bank Manager –
perhaps he (or she) is the manager who strives to achieve their end of
year bonus through growing their lending portfolio and as a result does
not investigate the repayment or serviceability capacity of the farm
business properly while encouraging the uptake of loans. Perhaps they
are simply not skilled enough in being able to manage clients and
understand the individual needs or business capabilities. Either way a
bad bank manager can be the ruin of any business (not just rural ones),
and they can also have long term effects as a farm tries to trade its
way out of a poor position (before you add in a drought or poor seasons
and commodity prices), even if the next bank manager is one of the best.
6. The personality of the borrower – We of course have our risk takers
and our ultra conservative farmers, some who take a gamble on a business
decision for their farm which may not pay off. Surprisingly enough
though the ultra conservative farmer can also find himself in difficulty
when tough times strike, as he did not undertake something he considered
too risky but which could have put him in a better position.
7. Previous Banking Practices – during the 80’s and
into the 90’s banking practices were very different to what we have
today, but for many of our aging farmers that is when the debts were
originally taken out and they are still service a debt that would not
have been encouraged in today’s financial industry, and which has
resulted in making the tough times tougher.
8. Taxation – now this
is a contentious issue……..tax breaks for farmers. So I do hope I do a
little justice to my explanation as I see it. During the good seasons
and when commodity prices are strong, may a farmer has been encouraged
to invest in unscheduled repairs and maintenance, purchase new machinery
and other various methods to reduce the amount of tax they pay (which
can be a lot). There is also a Farm Management Deposit Scheme which
allows some money to be locked away in a fixed deposit for a minimum of
12 months and a maximum of 5 years (also the total amount is capped),
effectively moving that amount of income out of the taxable year and
allowing the farmer to draw on the funds in a time when income will be
reduced (usually due to poor seasons). Rarely are farmers encouraged to
repay debt as it is not a “tax effective” strategy. There are few other
industries that have set historical costs like farming with a volatile
income stream that depends on so many factors outside of the farmers
control like the weather (drought, flood, no rain when needed for crops
or rain when trying to harvest), commodity prices, the value of the
Australian dollar, and government policy. A crystal ball can only see so
far and the Live Export Ban was an example of a totally unforseen event
that is still having ramifications for some. The worst outcome is that
all the outside factors present at the one time. If we wan our farmers to fund themselves during extended droughts we need to provide the incentive through tax breaks in good times. If they are encouraged to pay down their debts in good times they will support themselves during the bad.
These are just a few examples of issues that can determine in part the fortunes of rural borrowers.
I do believe there are some serious issues raising their heads now that
can be addressed to make small improvements for struggling farmers,
especially those facing the prospect of foreclosure. I wish I had
solutions to the larger issues for the here and now, but I can only
offer some small suggestions that would be of assistance in the future.
Changes to the FMD (Farm Management Deposit) scheme
When funds are placed into an FMD, they attract a reasonable deposit
interest rate, but difference between the interest being accrued on
lending facilities and that earnt on an FMD is much greater, easily up
to 5% or more. I suggest that the FMD scheme be expanded to include an
offset arrangement against a nominated lending facility. And no this
does not already exist as suggested to me in the past by a politician.
There are no offset arrangements that can be utilised as a taxation
minimisation strategy during good times to allow for the retention of
funds for the tough times.
Review of rural lending practices of the Banks
Once when I worked in a bank as an Agribusiness Analyst and there was a tough drought underway,
that bank quietly decreed that there were to be no foreclosures and that
managers were to do their best to facilitate the refinance of clients
and to help others weather the drought providing ongoing support in the
increase of overdraft limits (to avoid default interest rates). It was a
win for both the bank and the borrower as there were no foreclosures
and no farms being sold bereft of grass and water, for below market
value. I am glad to hear that this policy still remains in place today.
This is where I do struggle to understand the current round of
foreclosures. Surely the properties are being sold during this
widespread drought for below market value and therefore is there not a
good chance that the debts owed would not be covered by the sale
proceeds? I cannot understand how it could be considered good lending
practice and I suggest that the government does need to create a policy
for the banks around Natural Disasters (both drought, floods and
cyclones) whereby there are no foreclosures unless they had already been
underway.
I would also suggest that the banks undertake to
employ a specialist team of managers who can take over and manage the
whole default process in a way which allows the farmer to process the
series of emotions, the first of which is denial, usually followed
swiftly by anger and this is generally when communications between the
bank and the customer break down. In fact I suggest that one of the team
be a counsellor who will be able to understand the farmer’s emotional
needs and ensure that any transition to a foreclosure is managed in a
way that leaves the farmer’s integrity and dignity intact and also
allows them to deal with the grief associated with the loss of their
home. Remember that your average bank manager lives amongst the
community, has friends in that community and is a part of the community.
They are not are not specifically trained to handle the emotional
impact of foreclosure. They may only ever experience one or two first
hand in their career. The simpler option for many managers is to cease verbal
communications or hand them over to another department (a very
impersonal one who has no job but to see to the removal of the
mortgagee). The communication channel then becomes a series of default
and legal notices. There is a more effective way to handle such a
sensitive issue than with a police escort and bullish tactics through
ensuring bank staff are sufficiently skilled or supported to manage the
difficult situation.
Any review should also touch on the
disparity in interest rates between farms and businesses and the
standard home owner. While the financial market place responds quickly
to interest rate falls for personal borrowings, the response is much
slower to business lending generally. However should the rates rise, the
increase is generally passed on almost immediately to the farms and
businesses. There are more risks associated with business lending,
although I would love to see a study completed to prove this claim.
Additionally there are numerous unnecessary fees that once never existed
(I joined the bank a year before account fees were introduced, the
following year was hell). As our banks are not struggling I would love
to see them offer some waivers in certain fees to any businesses
impacted heavily by Natural Disasters, not only farmers during times of
drought.
Education
I saw today a comment which was so very true and correct, and I will now paraphrase it:
Farmers have invested heavily in educating themselves about farming
practices and how to do things better and more efficiently, grow better
livestock, etc. but their financial education has not seen the same
investment.
I do think this is a vital and neglected area that
could be easily addressed perhaps in conjunction with the Rural
Financial Counselling Services but in a proactive manner rather than a reactive manner.
Remember……………
It is
important for us to remember that our banking system and our major banks
are very sound having survived the Global Financial Crisis reasonably
unscathed. Any steps taken cannot undermine the strength of our
financial institutions, or foreclosure will become the norm (like parts
of the US) rather than occurring occasionally.
A farm is a
business and there are many other non-farming businesses out there who
struggle through the down turn in an economy, seasonal impacts and other
effects, however a farm can experience so many outside forces at once,
for such extended periods, leaving little to no income. There are few
businesses that can compare in this respect, let alone continue to
operate as many farms do.
Diversification is a wonderful idea and practical in some areas, but for many other areas it is simply not a solution.
A farm is a business and must be treated as one financially, otherwise sustainability and longevity is simply not achievable.
The best thing about the current debates, articles and coverage
relating to rural debt are the conversations that are occurring. Let’s
make sure they are constructive and lead to the development of workable
solutions at all levels. We may not be able to make a difference for
many currently affected, but let’s make sure that there is not a repeat
in the future and let's do this through mature debate and discussion. We don't have to like each other to develop solutions and ideas together.
At the end of the day it is there is a much more
insidious problem facing our farmers than the “rural debt
crisis”………….declining profits and erosion of farm gate profits. The
decline in profits for many has lead to a decline in their debt
servicing capability. Without correctly addressing this issue we cannot
address our rural debt and that is a whole other story.